FIRES IN BRAZILIAN BIOMES

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4215/rm2023.e22023

Abstract

Increasingly, forest fires are occurring in large parts of the world due to warmer weather, more frequent and severe droughts and continuous  changes in land use. In Brazil, the weakening of environmental public policies has further aggravated forest fires with widespread impacts throughout the country. This study aimed to evaluate the association between short-term variations in fire focis by precipitation, temperature in
biomes in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul (MS) – Midwest Brazil. Generalized additive negative binomial regression models with distributed nonlinear lag terms were adjusted with daily counts of fire focis as results and total daily precipitation and other meteorological variables as predictors, adjusting for seasonality and trend. In general, higher precipitation was associated with fewer fire focis, with higher relative risks for the
cerrado biome for the dry cutting and for higher temperatures the number of fire focis with higher relative risk for the pantanal biome. Stronger associations were observed in dry cutting (winter/spring). It was found that higher temperatures are associated with more fire focis. Fire focis are strongly associated with precipitation and temperature variation, but in opposite directions. Higher precipitation can become more clearly associated with fewer fire focis and higher temperature to more fire focis. If we maintain the burning culture to clear pastures and planting areas, the burnings will become increasingly uncontrollable.


Keywords: Hot Spots, Precipitation, Temperature, Weather, Risk Assessement, Regression Models, Fire Foci, Burned Area.Keywords: hot spots, precipitation, temperature, weather, risk assessement, regression models, fire foci, burned area.

 

Author Biographies

  • Amaury de Souza, Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul, Campo Grande (MS), Brazil

    PhD in Environmental Technologies from the Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul (2013). He was head of the Physics Department, coordinator of the Pantanal Study Base, Research Coordinator, Pro-Rector of Research, Vice-Rector and assumed the Rectorship when he won the terms of deans at the Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul. Participation as a Researcher Associated with Brown University. Associate Editor of the Journal of Mathematical Techniques and Computational Mathematics (JMTCM). Editor-in-Chief of the publishing house of the Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul, Associate Editor of the Journal Water (ISSN 2073-4441), Journal of Energy Research and Reviews, International Journal of Environment and Climate Change. He has experience in Environmental Meteorology, Urban Meteorology, Climatology, Fire Meteorology and Meteorology and Health.

  • Villar-Hernández Bartolo de Jesús, Autonomous University Chapingo, Mexico

    Universidad Autónoma Chapingo.  Chapingo, Mexico, e-mail: bvillarh@chapingo.mx https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5862-0056

  • José Francisco de Oliveira Júnior, Federal University of Alagoas, Macéio (AL), Brazil

    PhD in Atmospheric Sciences, in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro - COPPE (2008) and Post-Doctorate in Mechanical Engineering - COPPE/UFRJ (2011). Industrial Technological Development Scholarship in the DTI/7B and 7A categories (CNPq-MCT) at the National Nuclear Energy Commission - CNEN, in the areas of Radiological Safety in Mining-Industrial Installations and Radioactive Waste Deposits, from 2005 to 2010. Participation as Associate Researcher at the Universities of UBU (University of Burgos - Spain) and PKNU (Purkyong National University - South Korea). Member of the European Geophysical Society - COSIS.net. Currently, Associate Professor III at the Institute of Atmospheric Sciences (ICAT) at the Federal University of Alagoas (UFAL) and leader of the Laboratory of Environment and Applied Meteorology (LAMMA). Former Professor at the Forest Institute (IF) - Department of Environmental Sciences (DCA) at the Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRRJ) in the period 2011-2017. Professor of the Postgraduate Courses in Biosystems Engineering at the Fluminense Federal University (PGEB) - UFF, the Postgraduate Course in Meteorology (PPGMET) and the Postgraduate Program in Architecture and Urbanism (PPGAU) at UFAL. As a supervisor and co-supervisor, I have already trained (19) Masters, (3) Doctors and supervised (1) Post-Doctorate. Reviewer of national (12) and international (50) journals. Currently, I participate in the Applied Geotechnology Group in Agriculture and Forestry (GAAF) as a guest researcher at the State University of Mato Grosso (UNEMAT). Associate Editor of the Journal of Agro-Environmental Sciences (http://periodicos.unemat.br/index.php/rcaa/index) of UNEMAT. Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Atmospheric Science Research (http://ojs.bilpublishing.com/index.php/jasr/) between 2018-2022. ICAT/UFAL Extension Coordinator (2018 - 2022). He has experience in Environmental Meteorology, Mountain Meteorology, Nuclear Meteorology, Urban Meteorology, Climatology, Fire Meteorology and Meteorology and Health. Researchgate is: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Jose_Oliveira-Junior and PUBLONS is: https://publons.com/researcher/3186966/jose-francisco-oliveira-junior. I participate in NIDER - Interinstitutional Center and Development of Regional Studies (FEAC, ICAT and IFAL - Benedito Bentes) applied to the Alagoan Semiarid Region. Researcher at the Environmental and Atmospheric Modeling Research Group (GPMAA) at UFRRJ. Guest editor for MDPI in the International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health in 2023.

  • Marcel Carvalho de Abreu, Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro, Seropedica (RJ), Brasil

    PhD in Agronomy (Applied Meteorology) from the Federal University of Viçosa (2018). He is currently an adjunct professor at the Federal Rural University of Rio de Janeiro. He works mainly in the areas of hydrology, hydroclimatology, river basin management and agrometeorology.

  • Ana Paula Garcia Oliveira, Anhanguera University, Campo Grande (MS), Brazil

    PhD in Environmental Technologies. My work focuses on analysis using Geotechnologies and GIS analysis in the area of Environment and Information Systems. Has experience in Cartography and Map Production, GIS Management, GeoWeb, Spatial Analysis, Inference and Geographic Data Modeling.

  • Raquel Soares Casaes Nunes, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brazil

    PhD in Food Science/UFRJ, taught at Universidade Santa Úrsula and Universidade Salgado de Oliveira and is currently a tutor at SENAC RIO. Linked to research projects in the area of Food Preservation with an emphasis on labeling, microbiological safety of original foods

  • Muhammad Fakhruddin, Bina Nusantara University, Indonesia

    Mathematics Department, School of Computer Science, Bina Nusantara University, Jakarta, Indonesia. Email address: muhammad.fakhruddin@binus.ac.id

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Published

2023-12-02

Issue

Vol. 22 (2023)

Section

Artigos

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