“It was obvious that this would happen”: consideration about the hindsight bias

Authors

  • Bruno Stefani Ferreira de Oliveira Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora

Keywords:

Hindsight bias, Cognitive bias, False memory, Heuristics, Decision making.

Abstract

Hindsight bias is the phenomenon of perceiving and evaluating events differently once they are occurred. Given a cognitive flaw, people tend to have distortions of memory and produce false sensations of inevitability and predictability. The objective of this work is to make a literature review of the hindsight bias and to discuss both theoretical and practical implications of the theme. A search conducted in the Brazilian’s main databases did not find any articles related to the topic. From a selection of the main international studies on the subject, an analysis was made showing the cognitive levels of the hindsight bias, its implications and the strategies used to attenuate the bias. In the final considerations, the impact and importance of day-to-day knowledge of the phenomenon and the need to explore the subject in national research are discussed.

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Author Biography

Bruno Stefani Ferreira de Oliveira, Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora

Psicólogo pelo Centro de Ensino Superior de Juiz de Fora. MBA em Gestão de Negócios pela Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora. Mestre e doutorando em Psicologia pela Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora.

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Published

2017-10-24

How to Cite

Oliveira, B. S. F. de. (2017). “It was obvious that this would happen”: consideration about the hindsight bias. Journal of Psychology, 8(2), 63–71. Retrieved from http://periodicos.ufc.br/psicologiaufc/article/view/9278